Monday, 24 November 2014

India rupee weakens as state-run banks buy dlrs; euro fall weighs

* Rupee ends at 61.9350/9450 per dollar vs 61.7625/7725 on Friday

* Heavy dollar demand from state-run banks hurts rupee

* INR may soon move towards 62.50 levels

 
 The Indian rupee weakened on Monday on sustained buying of dollars by state-run banks and importers even as most other Asian currencies rallied on hopes of more foreign flows after monetary stimulus measures in China and Europe.
The sharp fall in the euro following the stimulus talks however weighed on rupee sentiment.Traders expect currency markets to remain cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy review on Dec. 2. The central bank is expected to adopt a more dovish tone but is seen as unlikely to cut interest rates until February..India is also due to report July-September economic growth data on Friday, adding to the caution.."There was very good demand for dollars from state-run banks which hurt the rupee today," said Hari Chandramgethen, head of foreign exchange trading at South Indian Bank, predicting a range of 61.50 to 62.50 for the rest of the week.

The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.9350/9450 per dollar compared to 61.7625/7725 on Friday..The fall came even as domestic shares hit a record high after China unexpectedly cut rates and as prospects of further stimulus in China and Europe whetted risk appetite globally.Prospect of further reforms at the start of the winter session of parliament on Monday could also prevent much further depreciation in the rupee, traders said, especially as the RBI is seen intervening to keep the rupee from dipping too much below 62 per dollar..In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 62.20 while the three-month was at 62.74.

FACTORS TO WATCH

 

* Euro near 2-yr low as investors bet on more ECB easing

* China easing puts emerging stocks in buoyant mood

* Stocks grind higher after cbank stimulus signal

* Foreign institutional investor flows

* For data on currency futures

 

INDIAN CURRENCY INTRADAY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS: 25.Nov.2014


USDINR ( 26-Nov-14 ) Enters in to Buy Zone and it is showing Strength. It is expected to test Resistance levels 62.06 / 62.18 / 62.38 . And the lower side , it has Strong Support @ 61.86 downside, it may tank to near support Levels such as 61.75 / 61.55 / 61.43 . Currently USDINR is Trading @ 61.95


EURINR ( 26-Nov-14 ) Enters in to Buy Zone and it is showing Strength. It is expected to test Resistance levels 77.07 / 77.23 / 77.53 . And the lower side , it has Strong Support @ 76.76 downside, it may tank to near support Levels such as 76.60 / 76.30 / 76.13 . Currently EURINR is Trading @ 76.90


GBPINR ( 26-Nov-14 ) Enters in to Buy Zone and it is showing Strength. It is expected to test Resistance levels 97.27 / 97.50 / 97.86 . And the lower side , it has Strong Support @ 96.91 downside, it may tank to near support Levels such as 96.69 / 96.33 / 96.11 . Currently GBPINR is Trading @ 97.05

 

JPYINR ( 26-Nov-14 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 52.33 / 52.23 / 52.15 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 52.41 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 52.52 / 52.60 / 52.70 . Currently JPYINR is Trading @ 52.44

 

 

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